2007年5月18日

鼓掌經濟學

最近在Financial Times看到一篇有趣的文章,跟大家分享!這篇文章主要討論的問題是:大家看完節目之後,鼓掌到底代表什麼意義?為什麼大家會鼓掌鼓個不停?英國金融時報採用賽局論(Game Theory)觀點來解釋這個情況,請看下文分曉!

<讀者去文詢問函>
Dear Economist,

At the end of concerts the performers leave the stage to the sound of applause. I prefer to save my energy, especially when many of my fellow concert-goers are applauding on my behalf.

From a strictly economic viewpoint I believe that my behaviour is rational but why do others not behave as I do? Please do not fob me off with the explanation that the applause is thanks for an excellent performance.

I bought my ticket in the expectation of an excellent performance and the delivery of that is the performers living up to their side of the bargain.

Kind regards,

S.C. Li, via e-mail

<金融時報回應>

Dear S.C. Li,

What can I say? People do not always behave rationally. Perhaps the trendy behavioural economists will strap audiences into brain scanners and produce an explanation; I do not know.

One thing of which we can be sure is that rational audiences do not applaud. The renowned economist Avinash Dixit(有名的賽局論經濟學家), perhaps fearing that his students will be all-too-rational after his course of game theory, offers an incentive payment of $40 to the last person to stop clapping at the end of his lecture series.

Research by Jeremy Bulow and Paul Klemperer shows that in such circumstances, the rational strategy is for all but two to stop applauding almost immediately. As long as there are several others clapping, one extra clap is so unlikely to deliver you victory that you should give up before bothering to clap it. Only if just one opponent is clapping should you persist. Recently, however, six of Professor Dixit's students clapped for over two hours before agreeing to share the prize. Perhaps they did not understand his material after all.

(By Tim Harford Friday, May 18, 2007)

個人見解:金融時報想強調:人非理性!過去傳統經濟學常假設:人是理性,這個觀點並沒有辦法用來詮釋很多實際的生活現象..(不過這也刺激的行為經濟學的發展!)

3 則留言:

  1. 網誌管理員已經移除這則留言。

    回覆刪除
  2. 雖然我覺得其實這個問題比較像是心理系的問題。人不理性就會拍手嗎?那為什麼不拍腳?感覺financial times的回答有點文不對題
    但是要說拍手這件事是完全不合理性我覺得到也不一定
    就像報中所提的拍手得40元的小例子,6名學生在2小時候所下的決定(我想我應該15分鐘後就會提議了吧)就是6名學生所下的「理性」決定
    雖然音樂會的聽眾是購票入場,拍手對我而言像是與表演者對話跟他說「還不錯喔,我還沒睡著」表演者受到鼓舞才會後有面一串的encore,聽眾離開以後會覺得「有賺到」的感覺
    所以這一連串的行為都是為了滿足個人的心靈需求在當下所做的決定吧

    回覆刪除
  3. 很高興有人願意一起討論這篇有趣但是沒有邏輯的文章!

    金融時報的回應很明顯是呼攏!因為這個回應是為了牽扯:經濟學理論跟鼓掌!

    就我理解的賽局論包含兩大關鍵要素:對手與報酬!若以音樂會鼓掌來形成賽局,對手很難界定,勉強可以把好聽的音樂當作報酬,因此賽局並不成形,因此用賽局來解釋音樂會表演後鼓掌,並不恰當!

    參考參考囉...

    回覆刪除

歡迎在此分享您的心情喔!

注意:只有此網誌的成員可以留言。

LinkWithin

Related Posts with Thumbnails